Whatever the case, a wounded ISS will have been fairly rotten luck. Back in 2017, scientists from NASA and a Russian space contractor put the odds of this worst-case scenario at 1 in 121. As of late 2025, NASA told WIRED the risk of debris causing a depressurization event in any six-month period was somewhere between 1 in 36 and 1 in 170.
"We have wi-fi in the box office, wi-fi in the production office," she explains. This year, Guilfest will run its own bar, which means connected payment terminals. Scott knows from past experience that if the wi-fi goes down, "You can't take payment for anything."
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But if net immigration to the U.S. stays in the red, the primary long-term effects would be fiscal in nature, as a shrinking workforce will do no favors for the country’s national debt. The Deloitte researchers wrote that immigration tends to have a “positive effect on the federal deficit, allowing revenue to rise faster than expenditure.”
Isaacman also highlighted a push to rebuild NASA's workforce, shifting some key roles from contractors — who today make up about 75 percent of the agency's technical labor — back to in-house expertise. NASA leaders say that will give them more control over launch preparations, as it did in the Apollo and space shuttle eras.